# DEGREE REGULATIONS & PROGRAMMES OF STUDY 2015/2016

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DRPS : Course Catalogue : School of Mathematics : Mathematics

# Undergraduate Course: Stochastic Modelling (MATH10007)

 School School of Mathematics College College of Science and Engineering Credit level (Normal year taken) SCQF Level 10 (Year 3 Undergraduate) Availability Available to all students SCQF Credits 10 ECTS Credits 5 Summary Core course for Honours Degrees involving Statistics; optional course for Honours degrees involving Mathematics. This is an advanced probability course dealing with discrete and continuous time Markov chains. The course covers the fundamental theory, and provides many examples. Markov chains has countless applications in many fields raging from finance, operation research and optimization to biology, chemistry and physics. Course description Markov Chains in discrete time: classification of states, first passage and recurrence times, absorption problems, stationary and limiting distributions. Markov Processes in continuous time: Poisson processes, birth-death processes. The Q matrix, forward and backward differential equations, imbedded Markov Chain, stationary distribution. Syllabus summary: Probability review: Conditional probability, basic definition of stochastic processes. Discrete-time Markov chains: Modelling of real life systems as Markov chains, transient behaviour, limiting behaviour and classification of states, first passage and recurrence times, absorption problems, ergodic theorems, Markov chains with costs and rewards, reversibility. Poisson processes: Exponential distribution, counting processes, alternative definitions of Poisson processes, splitting, superposition and uniform order statistics properties, non-homogeneous Poisson processes. Continuous-time Markov chains: transient behaviour, limiting behaviour and classification of states in continuous time, ergodicity, basic queueing models.
 Pre-requisites Students MUST have passed: Several Variable Calculus and Differential Equations (MATH08063) AND Fundamentals of Pure Mathematics (MATH08064) AND ( Probability (MATH08066) OR Probability with Applications (MATH08067)) Co-requisites Prohibited Combinations Other requirements None
 Pre-requisites None High Demand Course? Yes
 Academic year 2015/16, Available to all students (SV1) Quota:  None Course Start Semester 2 Timetable Timetable Learning and Teaching activities (Further Info) Total Hours: 100 ( Lecture Hours 22, Seminar/Tutorial Hours 5, Summative Assessment Hours 2, Programme Level Learning and Teaching Hours 2, Directed Learning and Independent Learning Hours 69 ) Assessment (Further Info) Written Exam 95 %, Coursework 5 %, Practical Exam 0 % Additional Information (Assessment) Coursework 5%, Examination 95% Feedback Not entered Exam Information Exam Diet Paper Name Hours & Minutes Main Exam Diet S2 (April/May) Stochastic Modelling (MATH10007) 2:00
 On completion of this course, the student will be able to: Basic understanding of stochastic processes and their characterizationAbility to analyze the transient behaviour of Markov chains, and classify their statesUnderstanding stationary and limiting behaviour and deriving these probability distributionsAbility to calculate the finite dimensional distributions of Poisson processesAppreciating the range of applications, together with a facility to model appropriate problems in terms of a stochastic process